V.l.Vernadsky in one of his works wrote: "The terrestrial superficial covering cannot be considered as an area of substances only, but it is an area of energy". Indeed, on a surface of the Earth, and in regions of atmosphere adjoining it, there is a development of set of the most complicated physical, physical-chemical and biochemi cal processes, accompanied with exchange and mutual transformation of various kinds of energy. These processes underlie of the Earth evolution and its natural conditions, being a source of constant transformations of guise of our planet - its geodynamics.
Geodynamic processes inside of the Earth, on its surface and in adjoining regions of atmosphere often lead to development of natural accidents.

Natural accidents in the modern world are sources of the deepest social shocks accompanied by mass sufferings and destruction of people, and also by huge of material losses. The general problems of safety of society all of them are more often considered as one of the major destabilizing factors of steady development.
The problem of natural and technogenic accidents in last decade became a point of discussion of the governments of many countries. They have added these natural phenomena, alongside with other threats, in the number of the major strategic risks of the country.
The analysis of data on natural accidents which have occured on the Earth in second half of the XXth century and in the beginning of the XXIth century, allows to speak about the certain tendencies in development of natural dangers in our country and in the world as a whole. These tendencies are expressed in:
• growth of quantity of natural accidents,
• increase of social and material losses,
• dependence on a degree of security of people and technospheres from a social and economic level of development of the countries.
The major dangerous tendency of natural accidents is the decreasing of people and technospheres security. The quantity of victims on Earth from natural accidents for the last 35 years increased annually on the average of 4.3% and has made 3.8 million, and the quantity of casualties increased annually for 8.6% and has reached 4.4 billion people during the same period of time.
Economic losses from natural accidents grow fast on Earth: in 60th years of the last century they made billions of dollars, and in the end of century they have reached 85 billion dollars (Picture 3). The total quantity of economic losses in the world in 2nd half of XXth century makes 895 Billion dollars. According the forecasts the annual damages from natural accidents can reach 300 billion dollars a year up to the middle of XXIth century.There are examples when economic losses from natural accidents in different countries exceed the size of a total national product therefore the economy of these countries appears in a critical condition.Many developed countries such as Japan, are compelled to spend 5-8% of its annual budget (0.8% of a total national product) for struggle against natural accidents, that makes 23-25 billion dollars a year.One of the reasons of the social and material problems growth is uncontrollable growth of a human population on Earth (Picture 4).The other reason is growth of technogenic influence of people to the environment. It leads to an intensification of such dangerous processes as flooding, hurricanes, tornados, landslips, erosion. Until recent time the efforts of many countries including Russia have been directed to liquidation of consequences of the dangerous natural phenomena, rendering assistance to the victims, organizing of salvage operations, granting of material, technical and medical services, etc. However the irreversible growth of number of catastrophic events and the damage connected with it do these efforts less effective and puts forward a new problem as priority: forecasting and the prevention of natural accidents.

As the researches of the largest insurance companies show, the greatest quantity of victims during natural accidents, about 47%, comes on earthquakes.
Scientists try to comprehend secret of a prediction of this act of nature. But their efforts are limited only by long-term forecasts (for some years) and intermediate term forecasts (for some months). Till now it has not been made any successful forecast within several days, but only in this case it is possible to rescue human lives. As experts approve, the one who will solve this problem, will receive the Nobel Prize for certain.
So, the important thing in such situations is the information and speed of its reception. Experts from the scientific institutes in cooperation with scientists of some academic institutes started creating the global geographical information system "Extremum". There are theory-mathematical models of estimation of seismic risk and forecasting of consequences of earthquakes in this system. In this work scientific problems of two directions have been incorporated: "Geophysic" and "Safety, protection, rescue and life-support in extreme situations".
The result of those works became an electronic card of globe where geological breaks and all structures are in seismic zones. For experts we shall inform, that technological structure GIS includes some blocks: databases, mathematical models, documenting and preparation for duplicating, the user interface. In its turn, the block of a database contains two files of information: cartographical and semantic. The first is the electronic map of four levels of detail: the whole world, regions, cities with the image of their structure and the quarters, separate buildings. The second data is on climatic conditions and geological breaks, the characteristic of building and objects.
When there is a push, the center receives the information (geographical coordinates, time, the magnitude and depth of the center) from three services of seismic tracking: Russian (Geophysical service of the Russian Academy of Science with the center in Obninsk), American and French. The computer by means of corresponding programs processes these data, and in two hours the system gives out the exact information any point of globe about where and how many people are under blockages, how many of them will be lost presumably and where it is necessary to spend salvage operations. It is occurred in calculation: when, at night or in working hours it happened. Predicted data and received in a week coincide almost. For 100 %. Similarly for Russian scientists, similar researches are spent in Israel, in Japan, in China and in a number of European scientific research institutes. But they have not been promoted further ascertaining the fact of earthquake.
The Azerbaijan scientists in SOCAR engineering geology department have approached most close to the decision of this problem by their researches.
So what is an essence of researches of the Azerbaijani scientists? The essence of development on which the corresponding patent is received, consists in decoding of those electromagnetic changes which are observed some hours before this tragic event. I consider, the faster this research will receive a "citizenship", the more human lives we can keep!
For the clear reasons I shall not open details of that, but I will invite the interested parties to mutually advantageous cooperation. It is necessary for all of us to create together the System of reception of the high-speed information of the operative notification of the governments about a place and time of earthquake.
There is also other problem which has forced me, being the scientist and the citizen, to take up the pen! ... For years of existence of young independent Azerbaijan Republic I had to battle of many times to pseudo-scientific fabrications about a fast exhaustion of oil stocks of Caspian sea. The purpose of customers of similar theories is clear also: to turn on investments of the international financial and oil companies from Azerbaijan on development and oil recovery in Azerbaijan water areas of Caspian Sea. The new wave from opposite coast of Caspian Sea about a fast possible tsunami on Caspian Sea now has gone. The uttermost bosh, which purpose is to make a panic among all the same investors! Rules of public clause do not allow to use "the national" expressions. I hope to state it them at our personal meeting!
However, proceeding from data about deep structures and history of the Caspian pool, and also real geological model of occurrence of this fashionable phenomenon of a tsunami here is not possible! Dismembered with deep breaks on set of tectonic blocks of different orders, this pool at its present stage geology-tectonic developments cannot promote the creation on Caspian sea of a tsunami any way. And in spite of even that Caspian Sea was always marked by restless character of its water cover because of often blowing winds. Yes, that fact is not excluded, that by virtue of these circumstance on Caspian Sea are greater waves height of which sometimes can reach more than 10 meters (that actually can be generated and it was in the end 1957). But even these facts do not give an occasion for the assumption of occurrence of a tsunami on Caspian Sea, though it was not wished by opponents of prosperity of the Azerbaijan state!
For achievementis of scientific results in the decision of problems in forecasting of earthquakes and a tsunami it is necessary to unite efforts of scientists and experts of many countries, irrespective of their national identity, creed and citizenship. Necessity firstly of all starts with from those reasons, that one scientist can add opening of Azerbaijan researchers by new inventions, others with presence of modern technologies, and at last conclusion of the third.
I, Kerim Kerimov, professor and the general director of SOCAR Engineering Geology Department, call to unite the efforts of scientists of all countries of the world to the decision of this terrible problem for the blessing of all mankind!

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Dear Ladies and Gentlemen !

Recent tragedy in Chine, Pakistan, Iran, Indonesia and in other countries conditioned by strong earthquake came to them and to all the world with lives of many thousands people (children, women and old men) and also not to mention about many billions (in dollars) financial losses. Bright example of how much actual and important solving the problem of earthquake prediction for all people, for head of states and world association. In this connection I consider necessary to inform that in the result of more 10 years complex
geophysical investigations carried out under my scientific leadership in the National Committee of
Geophysicists of Azerbaijan and in Production Association on geophysics and engineering geology
of SOCAR in 2000 year for the first time in the world we were succed to reveal two new effects which allow to predict impending phenomenon a few hours (approximately 4-5 hours) prior to the event. In addition to this connection applications on supposed invention "Method of The Short-Term
Earthquake Prognosis" in 2004 year from "Azerbaijan State Agency on Standardization, Metrology
and Patent" were recieved by us Patent under № I 20040016. In 2006 year to the invention "Method of
The Short-Term Earthquake Prognosis" by application № I 200500034 were received Patent under №
007087 from the Eurasian Patent Organization (EAPO). Then besides it by application № 200500038 to invention “Method of Earthquake Prognosis” were received patent under № 007086.
Thus, properly this is the first time in the history of geologic-geophysical and seismological investigations when it was found the way of solving of these difficult and dangerous problems for all humanity. As a result of carried out operations by us are proposed corresponding method of use wherever will allow several hours prior to the event to predict time and place of its happening.
At the same time we-authors of this invention would like to inform you and the public of the world about achieve progress.

Thanks in advance.

President of National Committee of Geophysicists of Azerbaijan, president of Azerbaijan section of SEG, academician of European Academy of Sciences, member-corresponding of Azerbaijan National Academy of Sciences, professor K.M. Kerimov